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Finance

The First Supplementary Budget: what it means and the options ahead

Posted on 8 July 2026 by Owain Cynfab

Owain Cynfab and Ed Gareth Poole A lot has changed since the outgoing Welsh Labour government set out its Final Budget for 2026–27. Not only has UK government spending crept […]

2026 Senedd Election manifesto analysis: Devolution of more powers and the fiscal framework

2026 Senedd Election manifesto analysis: Devolution of more powers and the fiscal framework

Posted on 24 April 2026 by Guto Ifan

By Guto Ifan, Ed Gareth Poole and Owain Cynfab This blogpost outlines what the party manifestos say on the future of devolution and how it should be funded. Although any […]

2026 Senedd manifesto analysis: Capital spending and investment

2026 Senedd manifesto analysis: Capital spending and investment

Posted on 23 April 2026 by Guto Ifan

By Guto Ifan, Ed Gareth Poole and Owain Cynfab This blogpost – the fourth in a series of manifesto analyses as part of the 2026 Scottish and Welsh Elections Project, […]

2026 Senedd manifesto analysis: Childcare policies

2026 Senedd manifesto analysis: Childcare policies

Posted on 22 April 2026 by Guto Ifan

By Guto Ifan, Ed Gareth Poole and Owain Cynfab Childcare has emerged as a common theme across most manifestos at this election. This blogpost – the third in a series […]

2026 Senedd manifesto analysis: the spending priorities of the parties

2026 Senedd manifesto analysis: the spending priorities of the parties

Posted on 21 April 2026 by Guto Ifan

By Guto Ifan, Ed Gareth Poole and Owain Cynfab This blog – the second in a series of manifesto analyses as part of the 2026 Scottish and Welsh Elections Project, […]

2026 Senedd manifesto analysis: Tax policy

2026 Senedd manifesto analysis: Tax policy

Posted on 20 April 2026 by Guto Ifan

By Guto Ifan, Ed Gareth Poole and Owain Cynfab One of the principal rationales for devolving tax powers to the Welsh Government was to enable parties to offer competing levels […]

2026 Senedd election analysis: the fiscal outlook

2026 Senedd election analysis: the fiscal outlook

Posted on 1 April 2026 by Guto Ifan

In our recent report, Setting the Scene: Wales on the eve of the 2026 Senedd Election, we outlined recent trends in Welsh Government funding and spending. In this blog, we […]

The Welsh Government-Plaid Cymru Budget Agreement – an immediate reaction

The Welsh Government-Plaid Cymru Budget Agreement – an immediate reaction

Posted on 10 December 2025 by Guto Ifan

On Tuesday 9 December, the Welsh Government and Plaid Cymru reached an agreement on the Budget for 2026-27, which will facilitate its passing through the Senedd in the new year. […]

Frozen 2: Tax Freezes, the 2-Child Limit (and what the 2025 Autumn Budget means for Wales)

Frozen 2: Tax Freezes, the 2-Child Limit (and what the 2025 Autumn Budget means for Wales)

Posted on 27 November 2025 by Guto Ifan

By Guto Ifan, Ed Gareth Poole and Owain Cynfab   On Wednesday, Chancellor Rachel Reeves delivered her second budget, after months of speculation, briefings and uncertainty. The much-trailed worsening of […]

‘Neutral’ or ‘Neutered’? Analysing the 2026-27 Welsh Government Outline Draft Budget

‘Neutral’ or ‘Neutered’? Analysing the 2026-27 Welsh Government Outline Draft Budget

Posted on 15 October 2025 by Guto Ifan

Guto Ifan, Ed Gareth Poole and Owain Cynfab   On Tuesday 14 October, Finance Secretary Mark Drakeford MS unveiled an outline of the Welsh Government’s tax and spending plans for […]