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Guto Ifan

Guto Ifan

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Health by a thousand cuts? An initial analysis of the Welsh Government Draft Budget

Health by a thousand cuts? An initial analysis of the Welsh Government Draft Budget

Posted on 20 December 2023 by Guto Ifan

On 19 October, the Welsh Government published its Draft Budget for 2024-25. It had additional funding to allocate - but the budget had been significantly eroded by higher-than-expected inflation, with […]

“A perfect storm” – an initial analysis of the Welsh Government’s Draft Budget for 2023-24

“A perfect storm” – an initial analysis of the Welsh Government’s Draft Budget for 2023-24

Posted on 15 December 2022 by Guto Ifan

Setting out the Welsh Government’s Draft Budget for 2023-24, Rebecca Evans described the annual exercise as one of the toughest since devolution. As we outlined in our Welsh Budget Outlook […]

Yma o Hyd? The Welsh economy of ’58

Yma o Hyd? The Welsh economy of ’58

Posted on 16 November 2022 by Guto Ifan

On 21 November 2022, Wales will play in a World Cup finals game for the first time since our quarter final loss against Brazil on 19 June 1958. In the […]

Public sector pay and inflation – the implications for the Welsh budget and public services

Public sector pay and inflation – the implications for the Welsh budget and public services

Posted on 29 July 2022 by Guto Ifan

Last week saw the publication of pay recommendations by the NHS Pay Review Body and the Independent Welsh Pay Review Body. The recommendations made − and accepted by the Welsh […]

5 key questions for Wales ahead of the UK Spring Statement

5 key questions for Wales ahead of the UK Spring Statement

Posted on 17 March 2022 by Guto Ifan

On 23 March, Rishi Sunak will deliver his Spring Statement against the backdrop of heightened uncertainty and rising inflation. There has been talk of a ‘policy-light’ fiscal event, following on […]

Covid-19 and the economic challenges facing the incoming Welsh Government – part 2

Posted on 20 May 2021 by Guto Ifan

In this series of blog posts, Jesús Rodríguez from the Wales Fiscal Analysis (WFA) team explores the economic challenges facing the incoming Welsh Government in recovering from Covid-19. Part 1 can be found […]

Covid-19 and the economic challenges facing the incoming Welsh Government – part 1

Posted on 14 May 2021 by Guto Ifan

In this series of blog posts, Jesús Rodríguez from the Wales Fiscal Analysis (WFA) team explores the economic challenges facing the incoming Welsh Government in recovering from Covid-19 The 2021 Senedd election on 6 […]

Spending Review 2020 – potential implications for Wales

Spending Review 2020 – potential implications for Wales

Posted on 18 November 2020 by Guto Ifan

On 25 November, the UK Government’s Spending Review will conclude. Spending decisions are likely to have wide-ranging fiscal and political implicaitons for Wales. This blog post sets out what to […]

Covid, confusion, and consequentials: how much funding will the Welsh Government get from the Summer Statement?

Covid, confusion, and consequentials: how much funding will the Welsh Government get from the Summer Statement?

Posted on 17 July 2020 by Guto Ifan

As usual, the UK Chancellor’s “mini budget” on 8 July was followed by claims, counterclaims, and confusion over the amount of additional funding for the Welsh budget. The UK government […]

Funding the response to COVID-19: looking ahead to an unprecedented Supplementary Budget

Funding the response to COVID-19: looking ahead to an unprecedented Supplementary Budget

Posted on 26 May 2020 by Guto Ifan

Welsh Government Supplementary Budgets do not usually garner much attention. Given the momentous events since the Welsh Government published its Final Budget allocations in March, tomorrow’s supplementary budget will be […]