Skip to main content
Jac Larner

Jac Larner

Jac is a lecturer in Political Science at Cardiff University’s Wales Governance Centre. He tweets at @jaclarner and can be reached via email at [email protected]

Latest posts

From Leave to Rejoin: Welsh Public Opinion Ten Years On

From Leave to Rejoin: Welsh Public Opinion Ten Years On

Posted on 16 July 2026 by Jac Larner

Just over 10 years ago Wales voted to leave the European Union (52.5% Leave, 47.5% Remain). A few weeks ago I spoke at a Wales Governance Centre event marking the […]

The World Cup is coming, but does football influence national identity at home?

The World Cup is coming, but does football influence national identity at home?

Posted on 9 June 2026 by Jac Larner

This is a guest post from James Griffiths at the University of Manchester. You can follow him on Bluesky @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social  “The imagined community of millions seems more real as a […]

All change! The 2026 Senedd Election

All change! The 2026 Senedd Election

Posted on 12 May 2026 by Jac Larner

This is a guest post from Dr James Griffiths at University of Manchester. Follow him on Bluesky here: @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social The 2026 Senedd election was one of momentous change. Using a […]

Uncertainty and Asymmetry: Electoral Understanding in the 2026 Senedd Election

Uncertainty and Asymmetry: Electoral Understanding in the 2026 Senedd Election

Posted on 5 May 2026 by Jac Larner

This is a guest post from William Davies, a PhD student at Cardiff University. You can follow him on Bluesky at @willdv2002.bsky.social As Thursday’s election draws closer and closer, it’s […]

Issues, Accountability, and Labour’s Declining Support in Wales

Posted on 29 April 2026 by Jac Larner

This is a guest post from Dr James Griffiths at University of Manchester. Follow him on Bluesky here: @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social Polling day is fast approaching, and the 2026 Senedd election looks […]

What Welsh Parties Promised When Everyone Knew Who Would Win

What Welsh Parties Promised When Everyone Knew Who Would Win

Posted on 3 March 2026 by Jac Larner

This is a joint post by Christian Arnold (University of Birmingham), Daksh Dewgun (University of Birmingham), Fraser McMillan (University of Edinburgh), and Jac Larner (Cardiff University). It is based on […]

General Election Voting Intention: Centre Left Fragmentation and the Reform UK Challenge

Posted on 18 December 2025 by Jac Larner

This is a joint post by Jac Larner (Cardiff University) and Ed Gareth Poole (Cardiff University). They received substantive input from Richard Wyn Jones (Cardiff University)  and James Griffiths (University […]

Consolidation, Not Conversion: Understanding Wales’s Ongoing Realignment

Consolidation, Not Conversion: Understanding Wales’s Ongoing Realignment

Posted on 17 December 2025 by Jac Larner

This is a joint post by Jac Larner (Cardiff) and James Griffiths (University of Manchester). They received substantive input from Richard Wyn Jones and Ed Gareth Poole (Cardiff), and questionnaire […]

The 2026 Senedd Election Simulator: One Year to Go

The 2026 Senedd Election Simulator: One Year to Go

Posted on 7 May 2025 by Jac Larner

This time next year, Wales holds its seventh devolved election – one that will be different from all previous contests. This election will be the first to use a new […]

The Welsh Electoral Pendulum: The Multilevel Voter and Switching between Westminster and Senedd Elections

The Welsh Electoral Pendulum: The Multilevel Voter and Switching between Westminster and Senedd Elections

Posted on 28 July 2024 by Jac Larner

The 2026 Senedd election will mark a new era of devolution in Wales, with an expanded Senedd and a new electoral system unlocking new dynamics of party competition. In this […]