The New Electoral Boundaries in Wales27 July 2016
As many of you will be aware, we are due to have the first draft of proposals for the new, twenty-nine seat, constituency boundaries in Wales published in September by the Boundary Commission.
The new boundaries proposed will doubtless stir considerable debate, both within and between the parties. What might, and should, they look like?
My friend Harry Hayfield (who is also a frequent contributor to the debate at Political Betting.com has had a go at this monumental task. A link to a PDF file with his suggestions is here.
I should note that the ‘notional’ results on these new boundaries relate to the 2015 general election, and the computation of these notional results has been all Harry’s work. I should also add that the final slide is Harry’s estimate of the final, notional ‘result’ on these new boundaries: 20 Labour seats, 6 Conservative and 3 Plaid Cymru.
I hope that some people will find these proposals interesting, and that they will stimulate some debate. Happy reading!
PS. (You can follow Harry on Twitter @)
Non-partisan thoughts on elections, voting and political representation from Roger Awan-Scully of Cardiff University.