This section of the site contains several types of information about opinion polling in Wales. (For the best coverage of UK-wide opinion polls, see Anthony Wells’ UK Polling Report)
Charts of Election Voting Intention in Wales
The charts below present in visual form the figures from all recent published polls in Wales. Click on each chart to see an enlarged version. (Last Up-Dated, May 2017)
UK General Election Voting Intention Since 2012, Wales
National Assembly Voting Intention: Constituency Vote Since 2012
National Assembly Voting Intention: Regional List Vote Since December 2013
Detailed Figures on Election and Referendum Voting Intention in Wales Since 1999
The following links are to PDF files, containing the results for all voting intention polls that I have been able to locate, both for elections and possible referendums, back to 1999. Please let me know if you think there are either errors in these figures or if you are aware of any polls not mentioned in these files.
Election Polls
- General Election polls, Wales
- National Assembly for Wales, Constituency Vote
- National Assembly for Wales, Regional Vote
- National Assembly Polls, non-specific Vote
- European Parliament Election Polls, Wales
Referendum Polls
Detailed Results of Recent Polls
- YouGov July 2013 poll for Elections in Wales
- December 2013 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- February 2014 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- BBC St David’s Day Poll, March 2014
- April 2014 Cardiff University/Edinburgh University Poll with YouGov
- May 2014 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- May 2014 BBC-ICM Poll
- September 2014 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- September 2014 BBC Wales-ICM Poll
- December 2014 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- January 2015 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- January 2015 BBC/ICM Poll
- BBC/ICM St Davids Day Poll 2015
- Early-March 2015 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- Late-March 2015 Welsh Political Barometer
- April 2015 Welsh Political Barometer
- May 2015 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- June 2015 Welsh Political Barometer
- September 2015 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- December 2015 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- February 2016 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- BBC/ICM St. David’s Day 2016 poll
- April 2016 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- Late April 2016 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- May 2016 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- June 2016 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- July 2016 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- September 2016 Welsh Political Barometer poll
- January 2017 Welsh Political Barometer poll
- BBC/ICM St David’s Day Poll, 2017
- April 2017 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- Early May 2017 Welsh Political Barometer poll
- Late May 2017 Welsh Political Barometer poll
- June 2017 Pre-Election Barometer poll
- September 2017 Welsh Political Barometer poll
- November 2017 Welsh Political Barometer poll
- BBC/ICM St David’s Day Poll 2018
- March 2018 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
- July 2018 Welsh Political Barometer Poll
Comments
A new political party has just been founded. Its called “Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party.” This is a brilliant idea. Finally those people who have always thought the Assembly was a bad idea, and those who have become disillusioned over the past 17 years, have a Party to vote for.
Wales has to be very careful or, one day, England will politely walk away.
A new political party has just been founded. Its called “Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party.” This is a brilliant idea.
A BRILLIANT IDEA???? WTF. No offense meant David but this is childish nonsense by a party out of touch with what we want in Wales. From the start we have always had people chanting, “WAG is a failure, WAG is a failure”, but in fact the WAG has been good for us and if we follow the idiots of the ATWAP we will return to the bottom of the UK pile with no future in Wales for our children or grandchildren.
With respect, I think you may both have misunderstood the purpose of this blog. If you wish to have an argument about this, please do so elsewhere.
Roger sorry and point taken
Diolch.
Is the same David Bevan that pushed his fear under a UKIP banner not long ago? I presume he would rather live in an undevolved Wales that would have Junior doctors on strike and teachers close to strike as they are in England. Where’s your ambition for a better Wales? Time to wake up I think and look at the facts.
Then I hope we’re not careful.
C’mon Wales, I agree. I live in Monmouthshire and we are now under threat as never before. First we had the English Democrats, trying to sell their history of Monmouthshire to people like me who were actually born in Monmouthshire and know what went on, and get a bit nasty when you point out to them you are actually from Monmouthshire and know they are making up lies. Now we have the Abolish Wales Party. With the rise of extreme English nationalism, as exemplified by the English Democrats and now the Abolish Wales Party, both of which want to erase Wales from the map, perhaps its time to consider our future within the UK. I have always believe that Wales is better within the UK, and in 1997 voted against devolution, but now we maybe better off with a lot more devolution. What do you think the reaction would be if Welsh people living in England started a campaign to abolish Westminster because of its continuous failings, or to annex Gloucestershire by claiming it was a Welsh county in 1974.
I agree with Philip this is a silly party that belongs with the raving bunch. We could reduce the mps sent to Westminster and have a handful from all the devolved regions across the British Isles and with it reduce the house of Lords from its bloated 1000th or so. Wales is a country and needs to be recognised as such not the western end of England. We need more powers not less
Despite the fact that the Abolish The Assembly Party is new, has never campaigned for anything in Wales, or fought a single election here, they have a participant in the BBC Wales TV coverage on election night tonight. The Communist Party has fought elections in Wales since 1921, is contesting all the regional seats this time – yet I have seen nobody from that party on the panel of any TV coverage in Wales whatsoever dueing this election campaign. Bias, or is it just me!
Wasn’t there a July YouGov poll?
Yes.
Rubbish sorry but we need to strengthen the assembly and reduce West minster influence get real. Maybe we could have a abolish the tory party party that would make more sense
Excellent resources. Really helping with my study on Senedd political engagement. Diolch!
– Swansea University (Politics MA)