Carry On Brexiting

Posted on 30 January 2017 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

One final note on this. As I said two posts ago, our Barometer poll asked the following question: “Now that Britain has voted to leave it will need to negotiate the future relationship it has with the European Union. With this in mind, which of the following comes closest to your view?” getting the following
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Brexit II: This Time It’s Personal…

Posted on 23 January 2017 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

For this second part of my discussion of the findings of our latest Barometer poll about Brexit, I turn to our remaining questions. These asked about the consequences of Brexit, both personal and for Wales, and trust in the UK and Welsh Governments to handle the issue. First of all, the consequences of Brexit. We
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More from the Barometer Poll – Brexit

Posted on 16 January 2017 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Brexit has dominated UK politics since the referendum result last June, and there is no sign yet of that changing. Our Welsh Political Barometer polls will therefore be devoting increased attention to the issue for the foreseeable future. For our latest poll, we repeated a series of questions that were added by Cardiff University to
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Could Things Be Even Worse For Labour?

Posted on 12 January 2017 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

The answer is that things could nearly always be worse. In this specific instance, what prompts the question is something that Matt Singh, of Number Cruncher Politics, noticed in the cross-breaks for our latest Welsh Political Barometer poll. Put simply, the point is that, at least for Westminster voting intention, Labour is doing particularly well
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The Party Leaders in Wales: the Latest Evidence

Posted on 10 January 2017 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Our latest Welsh Political Barometer poll once again includes our normal question about the party leaders; here we ask respondents to rate all the leaders on a 0-10 scale, where 0 means ‘strongly dislike’ and 10 means ‘strongly like’ (with respondents also able to choose Don’t Know if they wish). For our latest poll, we
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The January Welsh Political Barometer Poll

Posted on 9 January 2017 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Labour have fallen to their lowest levels of support in Wales, for both Westminster and the National Assembly, since before the 2010 general election. This is the stand-out finding to emerge from the latest Welsh Political Barometer poll, the first opinion poll to be conducted in Wales this year. As always, our new poll asked
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The Electoral Review of the Year, 2016

Posted on 1 January 2017 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

After an extraordinary 2016, there’s certainly lots to look back on! Whatever else we might say, it wasn’t dull… The main electoral event in 2016 in Wales was, of course, the National Assembly election in May. In the end the result was much as had been suggested for some time by the Welsh Political Barometer
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