I Thought We Discussed This…

Posted on 30 September 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I commented a couple of weeks ago about some of the people who have been misusing the Comments facility on this blog. The problem remains very much a minority one; but, sadly, it persists to at least some degree Just this week I have had to delete one comment that made potentially legally-actionable remarks about
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The Electoral State of the Parties, 3: the Conservatives

Posted on 30 September 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

For this third piece assessing the electoral state of the parties in Wales I turn to the Conservatives. This time last year I was rather upbeat about their electoral prospects, but much less so about their chances of wielding significant power in the National Assembly. As I observed “The Welsh Tories’ biggest problem, though, does
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Party Leadership Questions from the new Barometer poll

Posted on 23 September 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Our latest Welsh Political Barometer pol included two sets of questions about party leadership. Both produce some interesting results. First, we included our now usual question that asks respondents to the poll to rate leaders on a 0-10 scale. We asked this question for all the main Welsh party leaders, plus the Prime Minister and
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The September Welsh Political Barometer Poll

Posted on 23 September 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Theresa May has helped lift support for the Conservative party in Wales to its highest level for six years. This is the stand-out finding from the latest Welsh Political Barometer poll, the first opinion poll to be conducted in Wales since the change of Prime Minister. As usual, our poll asked people how they would
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We Know No Boundaries

Posted on 19 September 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

As many of you will have noticed, the Boundary Commission for Wales reported last week, with proposals for a new map of the House of Commons constituencies in Wales. Here I’ll just make a few comments and observations on their proposals. First, we should all be aware that the Commission had no discretion at all
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A Brief Comment About Comments

Posted on 17 September 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

As many of you will be aware, there is a facility for people to offer Comments on my blog posts. I don’t, in general, police this facility very closely. I mostly let people get on with it, although I normally try to respond to any direct questions that I get asked here. In recent weeks
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The Electoral State of the Parties, II: Plaid Cymru

Posted on 12 September 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

In my second piece assessing the current standing of the political parties in Wales, I turn to the second party in the National Assembly, Plaid Cymru. I observed this time last year that the coming months were “likely to pose considerable challenges for both the leader and her party. They will need to raise their
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The Electoral State of the Parties, I: Labour

Posted on 5 September 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

As has, by now, become traditional on the blog, I’m going to use this period – roughly the start of the new political year, as the summer holidays end, the Assembly is due to reconvene, and the main party conferences approach – to take stock of the electoral performance and current prospects of the major
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