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Month: May 2016

A Review of the 2016 Welsh Election

Posted on 27 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

On the morning of Tuesday 24th May the Wales Governance Centre held a seminar reviewing the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election. The seminar was a game of two halves. […]

All Welsh EU Referendum Polls So Far

Posted on 27 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I've again up-dated this post, this time to include the figures from the latest Welsh Political Barometer poll.     Poll % Remain % Leave % DK/ NV % ‘Remain’ […]

A few things you might be interested in

Posted on 26 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Just a fairly brief up-date on a few matters. First of all, the Wales Governance Centre organised a post-election seminar at the Wales Millennium Centre on Tuesday. I gave a […]

All That is Solid…Sometimes Stays Solid

Posted on 22 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

A few months prior to the Assembly election I published a piece which looked at the performance of YouGov polls in Wales in comparison to election results. http://blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/electionsinwales/2016/01/18/all-that-is-solid-2/ As I […]

Still Swinging Both Ways

Posted on 16 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

After the general election last year, I a piece on the blog which evaluated the respective performance of Uniform National Swing (UNS), and Ratio Swing (RS), in projecting the correct winner […]

Apropos of Nothing in Particular

Posted on 15 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

After last week's shenanigans in the Assembly, I thought it might be interesting to remind people of one question that was run in the final, pre-election Welsh Political Barometer poll. […]

An Election Podcast

Posted on 12 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Yesterday morning I recorded a podcast, discussing the election outcome and its aftermath, with my good friend and colleague Prof Richard Wyn Jones. You can hear it HERE.  

What’s devolution got to do with it? Youth (dis)engagement in the run-up to the EU referendum

Posted on 11 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Today's blog post is a guest article by my colleagues Sioned Pearce and Stuart Fox. They are running a project on young people and the EU referendum in the run-up to […]

Latest Westminster and EU Referendum Evidence

Posted on 10 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Amidst all the excitement of last week's National Assembly election, and the on-the-day poll that we conducted with YouGov, some things got missed out from last week's final pre-election Welsh […]

The PCC Elections in Wales

Posted on 9 May 2016 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Those of you who indulged last Thursday in the minority sport of voting in devolved elections will have noticed that there was also another ballot paper to complete. This was […]