New Welsh Political Barometer Findings!

Posted on 30 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

The latest Welsh Political Barometer findings on how people are intending to vote in May’s general election show the Labour party to be still well on course to win a clear majority of Welsh seats. When asked by YouGov how they would vote in a general election, our respondents gave the following responses (with changes
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Where We Work We Win?

Posted on 26 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

One of the more remarkable statistics about the last general election in Wales is that the Liberal Democrats gained more than 10% of the vote in every Welsh seat bar Ynys Môn. This statistic speaks to a time that was only a few years ago but, politically, feels almost like another century. Since entering coalition
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General Election Briefing

Posted on 23 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

This morning, at the Pierhead Building in Cardiff Bay, Richard Wyn Jones and I gave a briefing on the forthcoming general election, concentrating in particular on the situation in Wales. The slides are available here. And, in the unlikely event that you should wish to watch me, the video of my presentation is available here. (Please
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The Latest Figures on Referendum Voting Intentions

Posted on 16 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Among the other things – in addition to Westminster and National Assembly voting intentions – that the latest Welsh Political Barometer poll asked about were how people might vote in the two potential referendums that have been mooted for Wales. These are, respectively, a UK-wide vote on British membership of the European Union, and a
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Voting Intentions for the National Assembly

Posted on 11 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

In addition to probing voting intentions for the forthcoming general election, our latest Welsh Political Barometer has continued to ask about how people would intend to vote in an election to the National Assembly. Where do the parties stand right now in devolved voting intention? For the constituency vote, the results of our new poll
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New Barometer Poll: Westminster Vote Intention Figures

Posted on 10 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

The latest Welsh Political Barometer findings on how people are intending to vote in May’s general election are good news for both Labour and the Conservatives, but provide rather poorer tidings for UKIP and the Liberal Democrats. When asked by YouGov how they would vote in a general election, our respondents gave the following responses:
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New Ashcroft Poll of Vale of Glamorgan

Posted on 6 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

The Political Blogosphere was aflame on Wednesday evening with news of Lord Ashcroft’s latest set of published polls. Most of the attention, understandably enough, focused on the results from constituency polls in eight seats in Scotland. Very much in line with all the national polls there since October, and also with his earlier batch of
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Support for Welsh Independence Doubles

Posted on 5 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Well, that’s one way of looking at it – but probably not the most sensible way. The annual BBC/ICM St David’s Day poll has been published. (The full results are now available here). There are a number of interesting findings in the poll, many of which were discussed on BBC Wales yesterday. I’ll be reviewing
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What the ‘Experts’ Think Will Happen in the General Election

Posted on 3 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Some academic colleagues of mine, along with the Political Studies Association, surveyed large groups of academic specialists in elections, pollsters, and journalists, regarding their expectations of the forthcoming general election. You can read the outcome of the exercise here. Plaid Cymru will doubtless be eagerly looking forward to their predicted gain of 0.3 of a
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A Very Coalitional Weekend

Posted on 2 March 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I spent much of last Friday at the Welsh Conservative conference in Cardiff. My main reason for being there was to give a brief presentation on Welsh Attitudes to the EU, at a fringe event organised by Cardiff University. You can see the slides from my presentation here. They included some data from the most
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