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Month: February 2015

Anything to Learn?

Posted on 23 February 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I was asked recently how much I thought we could draw from the 2014 European election results as an indicator of what to expect for this year’s general election. In […]

Polling Matters Podcast on Wales

Posted on 18 February 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

A few days ago I went to London to record, with Keiran Pedley from the polling company GfK NOP, and Rob Vance, a Polling Matters podcast. We discussed the forthcoming […]

Whose Supporters are Most Likely to Vote?

Posted on 16 February 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  It has long been recognised, both by academics studying elections and by parties fighting them, that a key part of electoral success is ensuring that a party’s supporters actually […]

The White Paper on Reforming Local Government

Posted on 9 February 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

As most readers of the Blog will be aware, last week saw the Welsh Government publish their White Paper on local authorities (Reforming Local Government: Power to Local People). This […]

Some Interesting Data on Party Leaders

Posted on 4 February 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

As many of you will have noticed, the number of published opinion polls is rising steadily as we approach the general election. Among those polls very recently published was a […]

Ratio Swing Numbers for the Latest Welsh Barometer Poll

Posted on 2 February 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I have promised to keep publishing here Ratio Swing (RS) seat projection figures, as well as those for the more traditional Uniform National Swing (UNS) method, on the various Welsh […]