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Month: December 2014

A Little Christmas Treat

Posted on 29 December 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

In an earlier post, I assessed the potential utility of Ratio Swing (RS) as an alternative method to Uniform National Swing (UNS) of projecting opinion poll results to potential seat […]

New Constituency Poll: Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire

Posted on 19 December 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

As regular blog readers will be well aware, I’ve had cause on several occasions to discuss the marginal-constituency polling that Lord Ashcroft is conducting. For the first time ever in […]

A Good Day for Wales

Posted on 18 December 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Despite what the weather might have suggested, I think yesterday was a rather good day for Wales. The Royal Assent to the Wales Act does not put in place a […]

Happy Birthday to Us

Posted on 15 December 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Our latest Welsh Political Barometer poll arrived pretty much exactly one year after the inaugural one, in December 2013. As you all sing ‘Happy Birthday Welsh Political Barometer’ to yourselves […]

The Party Leaders: New Evidence on Public Attitudes

Posted on 9 December 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

As I’ve had call to discuss on the Blog previously, what the public think about the party leaders matters. Sure, attitudes to a leader are shaped heavily by what people […]

New Barometer Poll Published!

Posted on 8 December 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

The moment we have all been waiting for... The figures on voting intention for Westminster and the National Assembly, along with a brief write-up including seat projections, are here. More […]

Wales and EVEL

Posted on 4 December 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I mentioned in my previous post that I had somehow omitted – i.e. forgotten – to discuss on the Blog many of the questions included in September’s BBC/ICM poll. This […]

And Here’s One I Forgot Earlier…

Posted on 1 December 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I mentioned in a post last week that sometimes important things pass by without comment. However, I am at least normally aware that this has happened. I was rather aghast […]