New Constituency Poll in Brecon and Radnor

Posted on 28 November 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Many readers of the Blog will be familiar with the marginal constituency polling that Lord Ashcroft has been conducting for some time. This is a thoroughly welcome initiative. Although Lord Ashcroft is hardly the first person ever to poll in marginal constituencies, previous efforts (as well as this week’s ComRes poll) have generally involved a
Read more

Sex and Lies

Posted on 26 November 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I get occasional suggestions regarding the content and tone of the Blog. One, which I suspect may not have been entirely serious, was that I should take the Blog ‘down-market’. More sex, more gossip etc. The person who made this suggestion might be, at least briefly, mislead by the title of this post into thinking
Read more

YouGov Poll for YesCymru and Cymdeithas yr Iaith

Posted on 24 November 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Running this blog in my spare time, sometimes significant events pass by without my being able to comment on them. Apologies. One recent one was a YouGov poll conducted in Wales during late October. This featured some questions commissioned by Cymdeithas yr Iaith (the Welsh Language Society) and YesCymru. Cymdeithas asked two questions about the
Read more

Just a Bit of Fun

Posted on 18 November 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Our mutual friends at YouGov have just come out with this: what they call YouGov Profiler. You can use it to search through the YouGov panel of respondents, and explore the profiles of those who, in previous YouGov polls, have expressed support or positive attitudes towards various brands, organisations and people. It’s absolutely fascinating –
Read more

A bit more on Uniform National Swing – and an alternative

Posted on 17 November 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Blog readers will be pleased that the next Welsh Political Barometer poll is due soon. The results of our regular poll, conducted in collaboration with ITV-Wales and YouGov, will be available in early December. What better Christmas present could anyone hope for? Undoubtedly attracting attention once again will be the seat projections, for Westminster and
Read more

Devolution: What We Expected

Posted on 10 November 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Sorting through some old files the other day, I came across something that struck me as very interesting. It was a marked-up copy of the 1997 Welsh and Scottish Referendum Study surveys. (Yes, perhaps I should get out more). These two surveys were conducted face-to-face in the immediate aftermath of the September devolution referendums. Conducted
Read more

Easier Said than Done

Posted on 3 November 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

My previous Blog Post discussed the recent constitutional debate in the National Assembly, in which there appeared to be a cross-party consensus that competence over the electoral system for devolved elections in Wales should be invested in the Assembly. That debate also included some discussion about the size of the Assembly. Julie Morgan, Labour AM
Read more