Trends in Income Tax and EU Referendum Polling

Posted on 30 June 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  Wales Online are today running some findings from a new poll they have conducted with YouGov. The main feature of their story is attitudes to immigration, where – consistent with other evidence – they show considerable hostility to immigration in Wales, with such attitudes particularly strong among more working class respondents. This may, as
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Public Opinion About the Party Leaders: New Evidence

Posted on 27 June 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

UP-DATED 20/06/14: DETAILED DATA FOR THE DISCUSSION BELOW NOW AVAILABLE HERE. In my previous post I, along with Laurence Janta-Lipinski of YouGov, described the test poll that they ran recently. While the purpose of that poll was mainly to explore any refinements to their weighting scheme that might be necessary for future polls in Wales, we
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Trying to Get it Right, 2

Posted on 25 June 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  As I’ve had cause to mention previously, working with YouGov on the Welsh Political Barometer polls, and other projects, has been a consistently positive experience. A major reason for that has been YouGov’s consistent determination to try to get things right, and their openness to suggestions about ways in which the accuracy of their
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Detailed EP Election Results

Posted on 18 June 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

A couple of real gems for you to get your teeth into here. First, the House of Commons Library has now published a briefing paper detailing the results of the 2014 European election. This includes not only summaries of the results in each member-state, but also detailed results by counting area within the UK. In
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New BBC/ICM Poll – Voting Intentions for the National Assembly

Posted on 13 June 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  As mentioned in my previous post, BBC Cymru-Wales have this week published findings from a new poll, conducted by ICM soon after the European elections. The poll covered a number of areas, including attitudes to the policy achievements of devolution, and awareness of devolution, which I looked at earlier this week. Now let’s focus
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The New BBC/ICM Poll

Posted on 11 June 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  BBC Cymru-Wales have this week released some of the findings from a poll conducted by ICM shortly after the recent European election. (UPDATE, 16/05/14: the data from the poll is now available, either here or in the Opinion Polls section of the site.) Later in the week there will be some (very interesting!) figures
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Down the Local

Posted on 9 June 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  It is now slightly over two years since the last round of Welsh local elections (except for viewers in Ynys Mon…). In normal circumstances we would therefore be slightly over half-way through the term of office of the current councils. However, among the knock-on effects of the move to five-year fixed term parliaments for
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Recent Trends in Party Support in Wales, 2

Posted on 3 June 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  In my previous blog post I examined trends over the last two-and-a-half years in general elections voting intentions in Wales. In this post, I’m going to do the same for National Assembly elections, looking at the constituency vote. (I explained last time that changes in wording to the regional list vote question make it
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Recent Trends in Party Support in Wales, 1

Posted on 2 June 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  The launch of the Welsh Political Barometer last December means that we now have the assurance of reasonably regular political polling in Wales. We know that we will be having at least four polls a year; these regular polls, supplemented by occasional ones from other sources, make it easier to begin to pick out
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