Month: March 2014

Allez Milord!

Posted on 24 March 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  As many blog readers will be aware, Lord Ashcroft has for some years been running a regular polling operation. Yesterday he published full results of a very large sample poll, mostly concerned with investigating public attitudes towards the European Union. (It is perhaps worth noting that although the results were only published yesterday, the
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Righting a Wrong

Posted on 20 March 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

The Wales Bill has now been published. You can get all the details here and here. Much of the Bill concerns financial powers for the National Assembly. However, the Bill also includes some details concerning elections to the National Assembly. Specifically: It will “extend Assembly terms permanently from four to five years, making it less
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What are our true ‘constitutional preferences’?

Posted on 11 March 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

  Last week I discussed the recent BBC/ICM poll’s findings on ‘constitutional preferences’. Because of significant question wording changes, I urged caution about apparently growing support for abolition of the National Assembly. I also suggested that the specific constitutional preference question used in this annual poll since 2012 might, compared to other plausible question wordings,
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Mr Spoil-Sport

Posted on 3 March 2014 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I love my job. But one of the slightly less enjoyable bits is playing Mr Spoil-Sport in the interpretation of opinion poll results. I often find myself telling people (quite often politicians or political activists excited to see a poll apparently showing rising support for their party, or a view they support) that ‘it may
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