As some of you may have seen, I wrote a short piece for the Spectator on the European election outcome in Wales: you can read it here: https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/05/labours-welsh-wipeout-should-terrify-jeremy-corbyn/ The choice of headline was not mine… Read more
The European election result is now confirmed – and we can compare the fates of the respective parties not only with how they did in the equivalent contest five years ago, but also with our final Welsh Political Barometer poll, which was published on the Monday before polling day. So how did the parties do? Read more
This week’s Welsh Political Barometer poll asked the following question: “Which of the following do you think would make the best Conservative leader and Prime Minister if Theresa May were to stand down?” These are the results, presented in two columns: for our entire sample, and for those who say they would vote Conservative in Read more
The latest Welsh Political Barometer poll has generated plenty of interest for its findings on voting intentions for the European Parliament election. But those results were far from the only extraordinary things to come out of the latest poll. As per usual, the Barometer poll also carried questions about voting intentions for Westminster and the Read more
The Brexit Party are on course for a huge European election victory in Wales – while both Labour and the Conservatives face historic defeats. These are the headline findings that come from the latest Welsh Political Barometer poll. Our new poll once more provides the latest assessment of the political state of play in Wales. Read more
A number of people have contacted me in recent times, asking about how the electoral system for the forthcoming European Parliament election will work. Well, as they used to say on Blue Peter back in the day, here is one I prepared earlier: http://blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/electionsinwales/2014/05/22/the-fabulous-mr-dhondt/ Specifically, this was a blog-post I wrote before the last European Read more
Those conducting serious polling, and academic surveys of public attitudes, usually make substantial attempts to ensure that their questions they pose in their surveys are neutral and even-handed. As someone who has been involved in such work for years, I can testify to often prolonged and even agonised attempts to ensure that a question wording Read more
A couple of days ago, I took part in a public seminar on the forthcoming European Parliament elections – chaired by BBC Wales Political Editor Felicity Evans, and alongside my wonderful colleagues Laura McAllister and Jac Larner. We were fortunate enough to be joined by a substantial audience, who posed plenty of interesting questions. But Read more
Last month’s Welsh Political Barometer poll included several questions about public attitudes in Wales towards devolution. Publication of these questions was held back by ITV Wales for use in programmes around this week’s twentieth anniversary of the first sitting of the National Assembly; however, the results have now all been released, and so can be Read more
I spent part of the Easter break looking over old polling results. But then I am sure that we all did that… Among the more interesting material I was studying was some from the BBC/ICM poll published earlier this year; material which, unfortunately, I was not able to comment on when the poll was first Read more
