I wrote a piece for the Cardiff University Politics blog on some of the political divisions within the UK, and what impact a ‘Brexit election’ might have on them – following up on some of the themes in my 2018 book The End of British Party Politics? https://www.bitebackpublishing.com/books/the-end-of-british-party-politics You can read my new blog post Read more
Results from the most recent opinion poll about Welsh independence arrived just when I was packing for my holidays. Hence my uncharacteristic silence thus far about the findings. But it has been useful to have time to examine the results before commenting. The poll was commissioned by Plaid Cymru, but conducted by YouGov according to Read more
It has become cliché of political commentary of late to say that politics is currently deeply uncertain and very much in flux. Actually, this is not wholly true. On the defining issue of the time, Brexit, opinions have changed little over the last three years: the main change that is evident in public attitudes is Read more
As you may have noticed, the end of last week was quite a busy time. I was delighted to join the excellent Sky News team at the Brecon and Radnor by-election count for their through-the-night coverage, and then for their All Out Politics show the following morning. Following that, I also penned a few initial Read more
I’ve had a few appearances in the media over the last few days, commenting on the latest Barometer poll and the broader current political situation. Last Sunday I appeared on BBC Radio Wales, to speak on Vaughan Roderick’s Sunday Supplement show about prospects for the new government: you can find the show here (I appear Read more
Among other questions asked in the latest Welsh Political Barometer poll was one on the ratings of party leaders. This question followed our standard format of asking people to rate a set of politicians on a 0-10 scale, where 0 means ‘strongly dislike’ and 10 means ‘strongly like’, with a Don’t Know option also available. Read more
In these first days of Boris Johnson’s Prime Ministership, and with the Brecon and Radnor by-election coming up this week, the latest Welsh Political Barometer poll provides us with an up-to-date assessment of public attitudes in Wales in these eventful political times. As is always the case, our new poll asked people about their voting Read more
As some of you may have seen, I wrote a short piece for the Spectator on the European election outcome in Wales: you can read it here: https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/05/labours-welsh-wipeout-should-terrify-jeremy-corbyn/ The choice of headline was not mine… Read more
The European election result is now confirmed – and we can compare the fates of the respective parties not only with how they did in the equivalent contest five years ago, but also with our final Welsh Political Barometer poll, which was published on the Monday before polling day. So how did the parties do? Read more
This week’s Welsh Political Barometer poll asked the following question: “Which of the following do you think would make the best Conservative leader and Prime Minister if Theresa May were to stand down?” These are the results, presented in two columns: for our entire sample, and for those who say they would vote Conservative in Read more
