For the third piece in this short series evaluating the electoral standing and prospects of Wales’ main political parties, I turn to Plaid Cymru. As with the other main political parties, the recent past for Plaid has seen extraordinary changes in fortunes. Summer 2019 saw the party scoring some historic successes. For the first time Read more
After the dramatic political changes of recent times, our new Welsh Political Barometer poll shows relative stability in the fortunes of the main political parties. But it also points to the Senedd election next May being very much up for grabs. And our new poll has historically bad ratings for one party. After an April Read more
For the second in this short series of pieces looking at the current standing and electoral prospects of the major political parties in Wales, I turn to the Conservatives. To say that the Welsh Conservatives experienced mixed fortunes during 2019 would be a good contender for under-statement of the decade. Many might have forgotten that, Read more
For the majority of the lifetime of this blog, I have used this point in the political calendar – the return after the summer recess – to assess the current electoral standing of the main parties in Wales. Over the next couple of weeks, I intend to revive this custom, and address a single, simple Read more
The two leading political magazines in Britain, the New Statesman and The Spectator, have both carried online articles today about findings from the latest Welsh Political Barometer poll. The New Statesman piece, about the improvement in public perceptions of the First Minister, is here: https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/wales/2020/06/mark-drakefield-welsh-first-minister-covid-labour And you can read The Spectator piece, about how I Read more
(This piece first appeared on the Nation.Cymru site) The highest level of support yet recorded for Welsh independence is among the stand out findings from the latest Welsh Political Barometer poll. As is usual, the latest Barometer poll asked several questions assessing public attitudes to how Wales should be governed. First, we asked two parallel Read more
If the last few years in politics have taught us nothing else, they should surely have made us aware that political fortunes can change very rapidly. In a context where a far lower proportion of voters are life-long supporters of one party than was once the case, what goes up can also go down – Read more
