The latest Welsh Political Barometer poll also included our standard vote intention questions for a devolved election. While people will understand that these are a somewhat lower priority at the moment, they are still important for the future shape of devolved politics in Wales. Here are the constituency voting intention figures (with changes from our Read more
The second Welsh opinion poll of the general election campaign has arrived. And it serves as an excellent reminder of what has long been a foundational truth about politics in Wales: never under-estimate the resilience of the Welsh Labour party. Our latest poll once again asked people across Wales, between Friday last week and today, Read more
On Monday of this week, I was joined by my fantastic Cardiff University colleagues Professor Laura McAllister and Jac Larner to do a public seminar, at the Pierhead Building in Cardiff Bay, looking ahead to the forthcoming general election. The event was chaired by our other wonderful Cardiff colleague Dr Rachel Minto, and a video Read more
Well, it hasn’t been dull so far, has it? I’ve put down some of my thoughts about the election in various places in the last week. First, about a week ago I had a short piece for The Conversation about the MPs how are not standing for re-election in 2019. You can find that here: Read more
The first opinion poll in Wales of the general election campaign has arrived. Its results suggest that, at this early stage of the campaign, Wales is currently on course for a fundamental transformation in its political landscape. Our new poll asked people across Wales, between Thursday last week and today, how they would vote in Read more
In view of the now forthcoming general election, I have put together some initial thoughts on the places in Wales where the election will be won and lost. You can read those thoughts here: Read more
Among the most interesting sets of questions that we asked in our latest Welsh Political Barometer poll was that about the standing of the main party leaders. This question followed what has become our standard format, which we include in most Barometer polls, where we ask people to rate a set of politicians on a Read more
With fateful political decisions for the UK looming ever larger on the horizon, our new Welsh Political Barometer poll provides the latest evidence about what impact these turbulent political times are having on support for the political parties. As always, our new poll enquired about the Welsh public’s voting intentions both for a UK general Read more
I wrote a piece for the Cardiff University Politics blog on some of the political divisions within the UK, and what impact a ‘Brexit election’ might have on them – following up on some of the themes in my 2018 book The End of British Party Politics? https://www.bitebackpublishing.com/books/the-end-of-british-party-politics You can read my new blog post Read more
Results from the most recent opinion poll about Welsh independence arrived just when I was packing for my holidays. Hence my uncharacteristic silence thus far about the findings. But it has been useful to have time to examine the results before commenting. The poll was commissioned by Plaid Cymru, but conducted by YouGov according to Read more
