New Welsh Political Barometer Poll: Party Leader Ratings

Posted on 30 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

The new Welsh Political Barometer poll provides us with some very interesting information questions about party leaders in Wales – and also some about prospective leaders. As in several previous Barometer polls we asked people to rate a set of politicians on a 0-10 scale, where 0 means ‘strongly dislike’ and 10 means ‘strongly like’;
Read more

Voting Intention Figures from the new Welsh Political Barometer poll

Posted on 29 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Below is the brief analysis I wrote up for ITV-Wales on the voting intention figures from our new Welsh Political Barometer poll.   Support for the main parties in Wales has changed little since May’s general election. Meanwhile, Wales is currently on course to have a National Assembly with a significant UKIP presence. These appear
Read more

First Results From the New Welsh Political Barometer Poll: the NHS

Posted on 29 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

The first results to be published from the new Welsh Political Barometer poll concern attitudes towards the NHS in Wales. YouGov asked respondents to the Barometer poll two interesting questions about the health service, a topic that will surely be one of the most important issues – indeed, possibly the most important – in next
Read more

A New Welsh Political Barometer Poll

Posted on 23 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

I expect that many of you will be pleased to learn that a new Welsh Political Barometer opinion poll is on the way. First results from the new poll will be published next Monday, June 29th. This will be the first opinion poll conducted in Wales since the general election. As has been our established
Read more

Does ‘Elections in Wales’ Have a Future?

Posted on 22 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

The aftermath of a major election is generally a time for reflection and consideration. This is certainly so for political parties, and for those who cover elections in the news-media. But such is also very much the case for academics, including those strange people who run election-related blogs. Having been given back much of the
Read more

Post-Election Review

Posted on 16 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Yesterday, the Wales Governance Centre here at Cardiff University held a post-election review seminar. In addition to a free breakfast, those attending had the rather more dubious delight of listening to a presentation by me about the election results and what we can make of them. The event was filmed, and I’ll post a link
Read more

Scully and Wyn Jones Live…

Posted on 15 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

In September last year, my good friend Richard Wyn Jones and I gave a ‘Masterclass’ session on Public Attitudes to Welsh Devolution to a group of senior staff in the Welsh Government. It was a very enjoyable session to do. What I hadn’t realised at the time was that we were being filmed, and that
Read more

Free Breakfast!

Posted on 10 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

Next Monday morning, in the Pierhead Buiding in Cardiff Bay, the Wales Governance Centre will be holding one of our occasional Breakfast Seminars. This one will be a review of the 2015 General Election in Wales. Further details on the event, including how to register, are available here. The bad news is that, if you
Read more

Why Wales Should Count in the Morning

Posted on 8 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

[NOTE: This piece was drafted prior to the suggestion being made that the EU membership referendum might be held on the same day as the devolved elections in 2016.)   This piece constitutes something of a change of direction for the Blog. We’ve spent a lot of time over recent weeks and months looking at
Read more

So How Did the Ashcroft Polls Do In Wales?

Posted on 1 June 2015 by Professor Roger Awan-Scully

One of the innovations seen in the period prior to the 2015 general election was the large number of constituency polls published – nearly all of them by Lord Ashcroft. We had quite often seen ‘marginals’ polls reported previously, but those were usually done with a standard sample size spread over a number of marginal
Read more